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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54422060801004739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.70.1
21.921.8
Auto3.9
Teleop13.3
End2.5
red by 1.8
5676
#19
17.90.1
18.718.6
Auto6.5
Teleop8.6
End2.8
Second
8373
#10
15.20.1
15.715.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.1
End1.9
blue by 0.3
5066
#15
15.50.1
13.813.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End1.0
Third
8522
#13
13.60.1
10.110.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End0.6
red by 7.7
5708
#30
5.90.1
7.17.0
Auto1.2
Teleop4.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed