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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425202060801003563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.41.1
17.916.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End2.5
blue by 12.6
30.91.0
28.229.2
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End2.8
Second
4216
#25
9.71.1
13.412.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End2.0
blue by 3.6
13.31.0
12.713.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Third
8300
#28
6.71.1
8.37.2
Auto1.2
Teleop5.4
End0.1
red by 1.1
9209
#35
5.51.0
5.06.0
Auto2.6
Teleop2.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed