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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33550204060803960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#14
20.50.6
19.820.4
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End1.6
blue by 5.9
26.41.1
23.624.6
Auto8.2
Teleop15.9
End2.4
Second
7221
#26
7.00.6
6.67.3
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End0.9
blue by 7.2
5144
#18
14.21.1
14.415.5
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Third
8374
#40
6.30.6
6.26.8
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End1.2
blue by 3.5
4377
#21
9.81.1
8.910.0
Auto1.6
Teleop5.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned