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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4453203040607080905042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.9
23.324.2
Auto9.2
Teleop13.7
End1.1
red by 3.7
7197
#11
20.31.0
17.416.4
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End0.8
Second
8423
#36
9.90.9
9.310.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End1.3
blue by 5.3
8373
#10
15.21.0
15.614.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.1
End1.9
Third
6591
#38
6.50.9
8.19.0
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End1.1
blue by 7.5
6150
#16
13.91.0
14.113.1
Auto6.2
Teleop6.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed