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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52290204060801007944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.31.4
25.126.5
Auto9.4
Teleop15.8
End3.1
red by 8.5
7226
#12
19.80.5
17.117.6
Auto10.4
Teleop8.0
End1.4
Second
7790
#24
11.31.4
10.912.4
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End0.4
red by 4.5
7254
#33
6.80.5
6.77.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Third
5559
#20
8.71.4
8.09.4
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End0.9
red by 2.6
5704
#37
6.10.5
5.15.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned