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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2131010405060834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5205
#29
6.71.6
8.77.0
Auto0.6
Teleop5.4
End0.7
blue by 13.0
8728
#17
19.70.5
16.316.8
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End0.9
Second
9210
#22
6.61.6
6.44.8
Auto1.4
Teleop4.9
End0.3
red by 0.9
9183
#32
5.70.5
6.26.7
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End0.3
Third
6556
#34
3.71.6
5.03.3
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End1.3
blue by 0.3
4568
#39
4.00.5
4.34.8
Auto1.2
Teleop2.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed