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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59502030407080907645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.91.1
29.230.3
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End2.8
red by 11.2
19.70.7
21.821.1
Auto3.9
Teleop13.3
End2.5
Second
6150
#16
13.91.1
13.114.2
Auto6.2
Teleop6.3
End1.5
blue by 2.7
16.60.7
17.316.6
Auto6.2
Teleop8.7
End1.8
Third
4377
#21
9.81.1
10.011.1
Auto1.6
Teleop5.5
End2.7
red by 3.9
5708
#30
5.90.7
7.06.3
Auto1.2
Teleop4.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned64%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed