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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions793102040601001209029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.4
24.625.0
Auto8.2
Teleop15.9
End2.4
red by 8.5
5676
#19
17.90.9
19.718.8
Auto6.5
Teleop8.6
End2.8
Second
24.00.4
24.224.6
Auto9.2
Teleop13.7
End1.1
red by 17.2
7254
#33
6.80.9
7.26.3
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Third
18.40.4
16.817.2
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End2.5
red by 11.7
8300
#28
6.70.9
7.26.3
Auto1.2
Teleop5.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed