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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2833101520254045502320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6150
#16
13.90.9
8.87.9
Auto6.2
Teleop6.3
End1.5
blue by 0.7
8424
#23
14.61.1
10.08.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.2
Second
8300
#28
6.70.9
8.37.3
Auto1.2
Teleop5.4
End0.1
blue by 4.6
7790
#24
11.31.1
12.311.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End0.4
Third
6591
#38
6.50.9
9.28.3
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End1.1
blue by 0.1
9210
#22
6.61.1
7.36.2
Auto1.4
Teleop4.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed