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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254201020305060702249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5577
#27
15.80.9
9.88.9
Auto6.4
Teleop8.2
End1.2
blue by 2.5
18.40.3
17.517.3
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End2.5
Second
5704
#37
6.10.9
6.35.4
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End0.5
blue by 9.4
5066
#15
15.50.3
11.110.9
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End1.0
Third
9183
#32
5.70.9
8.98.1
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End0.3
blue by 3.0
5559
#20
8.70.3
7.67.4
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed