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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46330204060803914

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.60.1
16.616.5
Auto6.2
Teleop8.7
End1.8
red by 5.3
7790
#24
11.31.6
13.211.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End0.4
Second
8373
#10
15.20.1
15.115.0
Auto6.2
Teleop7.1
End1.9
red by 5.5
4216
#25
9.71.6
12.110.5
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End2.0
Third
5559
#20
8.70.1
8.78.5
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End0.9
red by 2.8
5708
#30
5.91.6
6.34.7
Auto1.2
Teleop4.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed