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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions612902040801006529

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.31.1
26.727.8
Auto9.4
Teleop15.8
End3.1
red by 14.4
6150
#16
13.90.1
14.214.2
Auto6.2
Teleop6.3
End1.5
Second
7197
#11
20.31.1
17.818.9
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End0.8
red by 10.4
8423
#36
9.90.1
10.010.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End1.3
Third
7221
#26
7.01.1
6.67.7
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End0.9
red by 1.3
9183
#32
5.70.1
5.65.5
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed