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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5349204060801005866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.7
25.025.7
Auto8.2
Teleop15.9
End2.4
red by 6.6
7226
#12
19.80.9
18.419.4
Auto10.4
Teleop8.0
End1.4
Second
5577
#27
15.80.7
16.016.7
Auto6.4
Teleop8.2
End1.2
red by 0.6
15.30.9
14.615.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End0.9
Third
8300
#28
6.70.7
6.37.0
Auto1.2
Teleop5.4
End0.1
blue by 6.9
8522
#13
13.60.9
11.412.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned