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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49330204060806134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.3
30.330.6
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End2.8
red by 13.1
5676
#19
17.90.6
18.818.2
Auto6.5
Teleop8.6
End2.8
Second
7254
#33
6.80.3
6.36.6
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End0.7
red by 0.5
8374
#40
6.30.6
7.77.1
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End1.2
Third
3773
#31
5.70.3
5.65.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.1
End0.9
blue by 0.3
5704
#37
6.10.6
5.65.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed