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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426502060801003569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.70.5
21.120.6
Auto3.9
Teleop13.3
End2.5
blue by 4.3
24.00.6
24.625.2
Auto9.2
Teleop13.7
End1.1
Second
5144
#18
14.20.5
14.814.3
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End1.6
blue by 5.5
8728
#17
19.70.6
17.317.9
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End0.9
Third
4568
#39
4.00.5
4.94.4
Auto1.2
Teleop2.7
End0.1
blue by 10.6
8424
#23
14.60.6
14.314.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed