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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45460204060804241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.60.3
16.516.2
Auto6.2
Teleop8.7
End1.8
blue by 9.8
26.40.1
25.725.7
Auto8.2
Teleop15.9
End2.4
Second
13.30.3
13.012.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
red by 3.4
8423
#36
9.90.1
10.09.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End1.3
Third
7790
#24
11.30.3
11.611.3
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End0.4
red by 4.6
5205
#29
6.70.1
6.26.1
Auto0.6
Teleop5.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed