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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246704060801001203455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5577
#27
15.80.4
16.717.1
Auto6.4
Teleop8.2
End1.2
blue by 12.5
28.30.0
27.827.8
Auto9.4
Teleop15.8
End3.1
Second
5708
#30
5.90.4
4.75.1
Auto1.2
Teleop4.0
End0.7
blue by 14.6
3414
#14
20.50.0
21.021.0
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End1.6
Third
9209
#35
5.50.4
5.15.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.0
End1.0
blue by 1.0
9210
#22
6.60.0
6.66.6
Auto1.4
Teleop4.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed