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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484920304060703867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.8
25.224.4
Auto9.2
Teleop13.7
End1.1
red by 4.2
8728
#17
19.71.3
17.919.2
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End0.9
Second
4216
#25
9.70.8
10.59.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End2.0
blue by 5.8
5066
#15
15.51.3
14.115.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End1.0
Third
7221
#26
7.00.8
7.77.0
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End0.9
blue by 6.7
8522
#13
13.61.3
12.413.7
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed