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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374702060803241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5144
#18
14.20.2
14.314.2
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End1.6
blue by 16.7
30.90.2
30.630.4
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End2.8
Second
6150
#16
13.90.2
14.214.0
Auto6.2
Teleop6.3
End1.5
red by 7.3
8300
#28
6.70.2
7.06.8
Auto1.2
Teleop5.4
End0.1
Third
3773
#31
5.70.2
5.95.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.1
End0.9
red by 2.1
6556
#34
3.70.2
3.93.7
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed