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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31450204060802470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5676
#19
17.90.4
18.217.8
Auto6.5
Teleop8.6
End2.8
blue by 0.5
18.41.0
18.619.7
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End2.5
Second
6591
#38
6.50.4
6.96.5
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End1.1
blue by 8.8
15.31.0
15.516.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End0.9
Third
4568
#39
4.00.4
4.44.0
Auto1.2
Teleop2.7
End0.1
blue by 2.1
5704
#37
6.11.0
5.16.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned