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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4947204060805232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7197
#11
20.30.6
18.919.5
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End0.8
red by 0.6
19.70.8
20.619.8
Auto3.9
Teleop13.3
End2.5
Second
7226
#12
19.80.6
19.419.9
Auto10.4
Teleop8.0
End1.4
red by 5.2
8424
#23
14.60.8
14.914.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.2
Third
5205
#29
6.70.6
6.16.7
Auto0.6
Teleop5.4
End0.7
red by 0.4
8374
#40
6.30.8
7.16.3
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed