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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions835620401001201408231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.0
30.430.4
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End2.8
red by 12.6
18.40.5
20.019.5
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End2.5
Second
28.30.0
27.827.8
Auto9.4
Teleop15.8
End3.1
red by 12.5
5577
#27
15.80.5
17.416.9
Auto6.4
Teleop8.2
End1.2
Third
8424
#23
14.60.0
14.114.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.2
blue by 0.6
15.30.5
16.916.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End0.9