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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645002040801001203549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.6
24.524.0
Auto9.2
Teleop13.7
End1.1
red by 4.2
7226
#12
19.80.1
20.019.9
Auto10.4
Teleop8.0
End1.4
Second
3414
#14
20.50.6
21.120.5
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End1.6
red by 0.8
19.70.1
19.919.8
Auto3.9
Teleop13.3
End2.5
Third
4377
#21
9.80.6
10.49.8
Auto1.6
Teleop5.5
End2.7
red by 3.1
8300
#28
6.70.1
6.96.8
Auto1.2
Teleop5.4
End0.1