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Red45
917622.3
51626.9
439815.4
Blue44
716617.3
612122.0
400417.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4378020601001201401604544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.0
18.918.9
Auto9.9
Teleop11.2
End1.1
red by 0.3
6121
#13
22.01.5
22.921.4
Auto8.7
Teleop11.0
End2.3
Second
15.40.0
15.815.8
Auto7.0
Teleop6.9
End1.5
blue by 2.0
4004
#21
17.41.5
21.520.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.9
End1.6
Third
5162
#17
6.90.0
8.18.1
Auto4.0
Teleop2.4
End0.6
blue by 10.4
7166
#19
17.31.5
21.820.3
Auto8.9
Teleop7.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed