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Red96
360329.2
376722.8
400417.4
Blue51
191816.7
716617.3
508419.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7762020401001201409651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.2
26.827.0
Auto9.7
Teleop18.0
End1.5
red by 9.8
5084
#11
19.40.5
19.719.3
Auto8.1
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Second
22.80.2
21.521.7
Auto12.6
Teleop10.1
End0.1
red by 5.5
7166
#19
17.30.5
20.019.6
Auto8.9
Teleop7.1
End1.2
Third
4004
#21
17.40.2
20.020.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.9
End1.6
red by 0.7
1918
#12
16.70.5
18.317.8
Auto2.3
Teleop11.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed