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Red26
611421.6
496720.7
79112.7
Blue28
56416.6
57021.8
51626.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675204060801001202628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.61.8
24.022.2
Auto10.3
Teleop8.4
End2.9
red by 14.7
5162
#17
6.91.1
7.48.5
Auto4.0
Teleop2.4
End0.6
Second
4967
#18
20.71.8
24.222.4
Auto7.3
Teleop10.4
End2.9
red by 14.0
5641
#10
6.61.1
3.95.0
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End0.1
Third
7911
#22
2.71.8
5.03.2
Auto0.2
Teleop2.0
End0.4
red by 0.9
5702
#23
1.81.1
0.61.7
Auto1.2
Teleop0.5
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed2%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed