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Red46
917622.3
171116.1
716011.9
Blue42
14115.3
439815.4
592616.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53550204060801004642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.2
19.319.2
Auto9.9
Teleop11.2
End1.1
red by 6.0
16.30.9
16.916.1
Auto7.2
Teleop6.8
End2.2
Second
16.10.2
15.215.0
Auto7.0
Teleop8.1
End1.0
red by 0.7
15.40.9
15.114.2
Auto7.0
Teleop6.9
End1.5
Third
11.90.2
14.013.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End1.5
blue by 3.3
141
#16
15.30.9
17.917.0
Auto5.5
Teleop7.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed