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Red65
721121.7
171116.1
191816.7
Blue73
56416.6
439815.4
612122.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6142020801001201406573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7211
#14
21.70.5
21.121.7
Auto6.6
Teleop12.7
End2.4
blue by 0.3
6121
#13
22.01.2
20.822.0
Auto8.7
Teleop11.0
End2.3
Second
1918
#12
16.70.5
16.116.7
Auto2.3
Teleop11.8
End2.5
red by 1.3
15.41.2
14.215.4
Auto7.0
Teleop6.9
End1.5
Third
16.10.5
15.516.1
Auto7.0
Teleop8.1
End1.0
red by 9.4
5641
#10
6.61.2
5.56.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed