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Red54
496720.7
171116.1
51838.1
Blue49
716617.3
721121.7
360329.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48890204060801001201405449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#18
20.70.1
25.625.5
Auto7.3
Teleop10.4
End2.9
blue by 8.5
29.21.9
29.727.8
Auto9.7
Teleop18.0
End1.5
Second
16.10.1
16.216.1
Auto7.0
Teleop8.1
End1.0
blue by 5.6
7211
#14
21.71.9
22.120.2
Auto6.6
Teleop12.7
End2.4
Third
5183
#15Sur
8.10.1
6.66.5
Auto1.4
Teleop3.7
End3.1
blue by 9.1
7166
#19Sur
17.31.9
23.721.8
Auto8.9
Teleop7.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed73%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed