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Red33
439815.4
57021.8
716011.9
Blue45
79112.7
335735.8
508419.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298002040601001201403345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.40.0
15.815.8
Auto7.0
Teleop6.9
End1.5
blue by 20.4
35.81.8
36.734.9
Auto5.5
Teleop26.6
End3.7
Second
11.90.0
15.115.2
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End1.5
blue by 7.5
5084
#11
19.41.8
21.920.1
Auto8.1
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Third
5702
#23
1.80.0
1.61.7
Auto1.2
Teleop0.5
End0.1
blue by 0.9
7911
#22
2.71.8
8.06.2
Auto0.2
Teleop2.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed52%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed