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Red32
360421.5
717422.0
675315.8
Blue58
608128.0
295928.9
47374.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7366204060801003258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7174
#21
22.02.2
24.522.3
Auto9.3
Teleop10.4
End2.3
blue by 6.8
28.90.6
30.129.4
Auto10.8
Teleop16.1
End1.9
Second
3604
#14
21.52.2
23.020.8
Auto9.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2
blue by 6.5
28.00.6
25.725.1
Auto11.6
Teleop13.6
End2.7
Third
6753
#28
15.82.2
17.915.7
Auto8.2
Teleop5.9
End1.7
red by 11.1
4737
#18
4.60.6
4.94.2
Auto2.1
Teleop1.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed68%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed