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Red41
719611.3
439815.4
766014.9
Blue93
84265.6
755827.6
3344.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38870501001504193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4398
#25
15.40.3
15.214.8
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End2.0
blue by 28.6
33
#4
44.01.3
42.243.5
Auto12.3
Teleop30.1
End1.7
Second
7660
#29
14.90.3
14.814.5
Auto6.1
Teleop6.5
End2.3
blue by 12.7
27.61.3
26.828.2
Auto11.5
Teleop13.7
End2.4
Third
7196
#23
11.30.3
11.010.7
Auto6.3
Teleop4.6
End0.4
red by 5.7
8426
#11
5.61.3
3.75.1
Auto5.1
Teleop-0.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned