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Red76
81516.9
76567.5
353827.6
Blue44
924524.6
99901.2
99994.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5823040801001201407644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.61.4
25.727.1
Auto10.1
Teleop14.0
End3.5
red by 3.0
9245
#16
24.61.7
19.921.7
Auto12.3
Teleop10.8
End1.5
Second
815
#20
16.91.4
15.917.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.8
End2.0
red by 12.5
9999
#26
4.42.9
0.53.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop3.8
End0.6
Third
7656
#24
7.51.4
6.17.5
Auto4.1
Teleop1.1
End2.3
red by 6.3
9990
#32
1.22.9
-2.10.7
Auto0.9
Teleop0.0
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed