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Red57
353827.6
54986.8
171118.2
Blue40
262014.1
66166.3
295928.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7766020401001201405740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.61.8
34.132.4
Auto10.1
Teleop14.0
End3.5
blue by 1.2
28.91.4
35.934.5
Auto10.8
Teleop16.1
End1.9
Second
18.21.8
24.422.6
Auto7.0
Teleop10.2
End1.1
red by 4.2
2620
#15
14.11.4
12.411.0
Auto6.5
Teleop5.9
End1.7
Third
6.81.8
10.18.3
Auto0.2
Teleop4.8
End1.9
red by 0.6
6616
#27
6.31.4
12.511.1
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed