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Red75
755827.6
924524.6
376722.6
Blue61
84265.6
675315.8
931217.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1044201502007561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.62.2
33.431.1
Auto11.5
Teleop13.7
End2.4
red by 10.0
9312
#12
17.60.6
20.621.2
Auto11.0
Teleop6.2
End0.4
Second
9245
#16
24.62.2
24.722.4
Auto12.3
Teleop10.8
End1.5
red by 8.8
6753
#28
15.80.6
18.318.9
Auto8.2
Teleop5.9
End1.7
Third
22.62.2
28.526.3
Auto11.6
Teleop10.1
End0.9
red by 17.0
8426
#11
5.60.6
6.06.6
Auto5.1
Teleop-0.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed