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Red48
319318.2
81516.9
360421.5
Blue42
86215.6
509010.8
439815.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions935702040801201401604842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#14
21.52.1
29.627.5
Auto9.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2
red by 5.9
862
#17
15.61.0
22.421.4
Auto6.4
Teleop7.8
End1.4
Second
18.22.1
26.023.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.9
End1.0
red by 2.7
4398
#25
15.41.0
14.913.8
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End2.0
Third
815
#20
16.92.1
24.522.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.8
End2.0
red by 6.0
5090
#31
10.81.0
18.417.4
Auto8.5
Teleop2.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed