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Red41
76567.5
719611.3
262014.1
Blue51
376722.6
47374.6
931217.6
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30670204060801001201404151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2620
#15
14.10.6
11.011.6
Auto6.5
Teleop5.9
End1.7
blue by 8.5
22.60.3
26.326.0
Auto11.6
Teleop10.1
End0.9
Second
7196
#23
11.30.6
14.415.1
Auto6.3
Teleop4.6
End0.4
blue by 6.4
9312
#12
17.60.3
21.220.9
Auto11.0
Teleop6.2
End0.4
Third
7656
#24
7.50.6
6.47.0
Auto4.1
Teleop1.1
End2.3
red by 2.8
4737
#18
4.60.3
8.38.0
Auto2.1
Teleop1.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed