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Red15
509010.8
99994.4
81516.9
Blue76
295928.9
755827.6
91028.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371190501001502001576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
815
#20
16.92.5
22.419.9
Auto5.1
Teleop9.8
End2.0
blue by 12.0
28.91.8
34.532.7
Auto10.8
Teleop16.1
End1.9
Second
5090
#31
10.82.5
17.414.9
Auto8.5
Teleop2.4
End-0.1
blue by 17.2
910
#13
28.01.8
32.730.9
Auto9.5
Teleop14.6
End4.0
Third
9999
#26
4.44.2
7.83.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop3.8
End0.6
blue by 23.3
27.61.8
31.129.3
Auto11.5
Teleop13.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed