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Red35
360421.5
86215.6
66166.3
Blue63
7024.9
924524.6
675315.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6575020401001201401603563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#14
21.51.7
27.525.8
Auto9.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2
blue by 3.4
70
#10
24.90.4
25.124.8
Auto5.8
Teleop13.7
End5.4
Second
862
#17
15.61.7
21.419.7
Auto6.4
Teleop7.8
End1.4
blue by 9.0
9245
#16
24.60.4
22.422.1
Auto12.3
Teleop10.8
End1.5
Third
6616
#27
6.31.7
11.19.5
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End1.2
blue by 9.5
6753
#28
15.80.4
18.918.6
Auto8.2
Teleop5.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsMissed61%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsMissed