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Red36
432711.3
239921.4
361812.9
Blue39
262011.2
663714.6
376724.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58582030405070803639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2399
#10
21.41.4
21.219.8
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End2.5
blue by 3.5
24.90.8
23.122.3
Auto14.0
Teleop10.1
End0.7
Second
3618
#29
12.91.4
16.315.0
Auto6.0
Teleop5.3
End1.6
blue by 1.7
6637
#16
14.60.8
14.914.1
Auto6.5
Teleop5.5
End2.6
Third
4327
#19
11.31.4
16.815.5
Auto5.1
Teleop6.0
End0.2
red by 0.1
2620
#14
11.20.8
13.012.2
Auto5.1
Teleop5.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed