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Red36
317522.9
84240.9
283422.1
Blue51
283219.3
931220.5
842310.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55573040506070803651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#17
22.91.0
24.623.6
Auto8.5
Teleop13.2
End1.2
red by 2.5
20.50.0
17.117.1
Auto12.7
Teleop7.0
End0.8
Second
22.11.0
20.719.8
Auto7.0
Teleop11.2
End3.8
red by 2.7
2832
#13
19.30.0
21.821.8
Auto9.1
Teleop7.8
End2.4
Third
8424
#31
0.91.0
5.04.1
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.8
End-0.3
blue by 9.6
8423
#24
10.50.0
12.512.5
Auto4.8
Teleop4.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed