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Red53
663714.6
283422.1
691413.0
Blue41
509010.8
102325.7
56953.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544102060801005341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.4
19.820.2
Auto7.0
Teleop11.2
End3.8
blue by 3.6
1023
#21
25.70.1
25.826.0
Auto8.2
Teleop14.4
End3.1
Second
6637
#16
14.60.4
14.414.8
Auto6.5
Teleop5.5
End2.6
red by 3.8
10.80.1
9.69.7
Auto8.9
Teleop2.2
End-0.2
Third
13.00.4
12.813.2
Auto5.0
Teleop5.9
End2.1
red by 9.4
5695
#25
3.60.1
3.53.6
Auto2.1
Teleop0.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed