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Red72
22630.1
262011.2
360422.8
Blue44
436236.6
755826.0
84240.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638302003004005006007008007244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#2
30.10.6
27.027.5
Auto12.1
Teleop16.1
End2.0
blue by 6.5
4362
#23
36.63.2
42.038.8
Auto10.8
Teleop22.3
End3.6
Second
22.80.6
21.421.9
Auto8.4
Teleop12.3
End2.0
blue by 3.2
26.03.2
27.023.8
Auto9.8
Teleop13.8
End2.4
Third
2620
#14
11.20.6
10.310.8
Auto5.1
Teleop5.2
End0.8
red by 10.3
8424
#31
0.93.2
3.1-0.1
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.8
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned