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Red77
931220.5
353824.5
999414.5
Blue66
239921.4
716626.1
439819.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions537902040601001201401607766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#18
24.51.6
24.025.5
Auto13.1
Teleop9.1
End2.3
blue by 1.6
7166
#15
26.10.1
27.327.2
Auto10.0
Teleop14.4
End1.7
Second
20.51.6
18.820.4
Auto12.7
Teleop7.0
End0.8
blue by 0.9
2399
#10
21.40.1
21.621.4
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End2.5
Third
14.52.6
10.913.5
Auto5.9
Teleop6.2
End2.3
blue by 4.6
4398
#12
19.00.1
19.018.9
Auto9.2
Teleop7.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed