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Red61
22630.1
509010.8
47374.8
Blue39
842310.5
376724.9
60789.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484820304060706139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#2
30.10.6
27.528.1
Auto12.1
Teleop16.1
End2.0
red by 5.3
24.90.4
22.321.9
Auto14.0
Teleop10.1
End0.7
Second
10.80.6
9.710.3
Auto8.9
Teleop2.2
End-0.2
red by 0.4
8423
#24
10.50.4
12.211.8
Auto4.8
Teleop4.3
End1.3
Third
4737
#22
4.80.6
4.75.3
Auto3.2
Teleop-0.2
End1.9
blue by 4.8
6078
#30
9.60.4
10.510.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsMissed