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Red41
71969.8
102325.7
75988.8
Blue48
283219.3
436236.6
432711.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions458501001502002504148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#21
25.70.4
26.025.6
Auto8.2
Teleop14.4
End3.1
blue by 11.0
4362
#23
36.61.6
38.837.2
Auto10.8
Teleop22.3
End3.6
Second
7196
#32
9.80.4
10.710.3
Auto6.8
Teleop3.1
End-0.1
blue by 9.5
2832
#13
19.31.6
20.518.9
Auto9.1
Teleop7.8
End2.4
Third
7598
#20
8.80.4
8.68.1
Auto4.5
Teleop2.7
End1.6
blue by 2.5
4327
#19
11.31.6
12.811.2
Auto5.1
Teleop6.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed