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Red69
360422.8
376724.9
509010.8
Blue68
999414.5
924524.5
283422.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59604550556570756968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.91.0
21.922.9
Auto14.0
Teleop10.1
End0.7
red by 0.4
9245
#11
24.50.7
24.024.7
Auto9.5
Teleop13.1
End1.9
Second
22.81.0
21.922.9
Auto8.4
Teleop12.3
End2.0
red by 0.7
22.10.7
20.721.4
Auto7.0
Teleop11.2
End3.8
Third
10.81.0
10.311.3
Auto8.9
Teleop2.2
End-0.2
blue by 3.7
14.51.1
13.514.6
Auto5.9
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned