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Red21
56953.6
71969.8
432711.3
Blue66
931220.5
60789.6
22630.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions227204060801001201401602166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4327
#19
11.30.4
11.210.8
Auto5.1
Teleop6.0
End0.2
blue by 18.8
226
#2
30.10.2
28.128.3
Auto12.1
Teleop16.1
End2.0
Second
7196
#32
9.80.4
10.39.9
Auto6.8
Teleop3.1
End-0.1
blue by 10.7
20.50.2
20.420.5
Auto12.7
Teleop7.0
End0.8
Third
5695
#25
3.60.4
4.13.7
Auto2.1
Teleop0.5
End1.0
blue by 6.0
6078
#30
9.60.2
10.110.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed