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Red36
91025.9
60789.6
353824.5
Blue74
283422.1
436236.6
931220.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73970501502003674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#28
25.92.2
27.925.7
Auto10.8
Teleop12.2
End2.8
blue by 10.7
4362
#23
36.60.7
45.444.7
Auto10.8
Teleop22.3
End3.6
Second
3538
#18
24.52.2
27.325.1
Auto13.1
Teleop9.1
End2.3
red by 2.4
22.10.7
21.420.7
Auto7.0
Teleop11.2
End3.8
Third
6078
#30
9.62.2
13.811.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End1.0
blue by 10.9
20.50.7
17.817.1
Auto12.7
Teleop7.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
52%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed