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Red58
75988.8
317522.9
755826.0
Blue20
716626.1
84240.9
509010.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70480204060801001201401605820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.2
26.726.5
Auto9.8
Teleop13.8
End2.4
blue by 0.1
7166
#15
26.11.8
28.126.3
Auto10.0
Teleop14.4
End1.7
Second
3175
#17
22.90.2
24.724.6
Auto8.5
Teleop13.2
End1.2
red by 12.1
10.81.8
11.69.8
Auto8.9
Teleop2.2
End-0.2
Third
7598
#20
8.80.2
8.98.7
Auto4.5
Teleop2.7
End1.6
red by 7.9
8424
#31
0.91.8
6.85.0
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.8
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed2%Ensemble oddsMissed